Texas Hold ‘Em Poker Tournament

December 8, 2009

Be a Sit and Go Mutual Fund Manager

Filed under: General — Tags: , — Marty @ 9:54 pm

Be a Sit and Go Mutual Fund Manager
By Marty Smith 

Successful online single players realize that one of the biggest hurdles to their success was to learn how to properly manage their bankroll, while at the same time building their skills. It’s an often hard lesson to learn and for most of us tested our resolve time and time again, until really understanding and role management sunk in deeply enough to have an impact on our game.

But managing a bankroll doesn’t necessarily come naturally when it comes to online poker. The fun and excitement of it all tends to get minds a wondering, and hopes a leaping, even for the most conservative of characters. Maybe though, we should think of ourselves as more conservative characters, like the blue suits who manage money every day as a way of life. Can we not take some lessons from market players who manage millions of dollars?

Think of yourself as an investment banker or mutual fund manager. Those professionals will only use a small portion of the money they manage and put it into higher risk opportunities. That doesn’t mean high risk opportunities, it means managing investments properly with an inherent amount of risk and reward scenarios thoroughly analyzed.

They manage for long-term, annual returns. If you take this further and think about it, if you’ve ever seen a wildly high return percentage advertised for a mutual fund like 33% or something like that, then you pretty much know it was a fluke and that there is likely no way that fund is going to repeat that percentage the following year. You don’t trust it. The same should be said for a poker player who makes it big early on in his online endeavours. You can’t trust him to repeat it – because you know it is a fluke. He is a fish, burning to give it back.

There are bankroll management programs available online some of them free that can help you to this end. Using one of them can make your thinking process much more professional in terms of how you handle your online poker accounts. How often do you think a mutual fund manager says things like, let’s let the whole thing right on this one stock I got a good feeling. I’m feeling really lucky about this stock, let’s go for it. Let’s just try and double up or get the heck out of its business. Let’s move up because what we’re doing so far isn’t working.

If the sound familiar you might not need a new poker book as much as you need an investment manual.

Marty Smith has a free sit and go strategy profiling report and videos for playing sit and go tournaments successfully. He also reviews all the online poker calculators with video in real game situations, so you can see which one is right for you before you buy.

Playing TAG at the Final Table

Filed under: General — Tags: , — Marty @ 9:54 pm

Playing TAG at the Final Table
By Marty Smith 

If you are like me, then you play a lot of a multi-table sit and go tournaments online. They are really great in terms of keeping your time spent in tournaments confined to segments, that don’t intrude on as much of your time as the open multi-table tournaments. There have been many times when I wanted to play a tournament by only had maybe three hours maximum. In that sense, I look to the 90 seat or 180 seat sit and go tournaments that you can find at poker stars and full tilt poker.

It’s in these tournaments that I’ve also noticed something else about the final table. That is of course when make the final table. The thing is I in the habit of profiling my opponents all the way through every tournament I play, so when I do make the final table. I know what kind of players I come up against. Oddly though, once you do get to the final table, you may find like I do, is that the majority of your opponents put on their best TAG suit and step up to the game.

I even find this when leading up to the final table, a good number of your opponents actually had different profiles ranging from gambler, to elephant, to eagle. So why all of a sudden, when the final table convenes do players change their colors? Is it mostly because the tag players are the ones who have survived throughout the tournament or do players get serious enough about the game that they actually changed their profiles to adapt to game conditions?

I think it’s a combination of both really. Last final table I was at there was one rock and eight TAG players. Even though was only a four dollar hundred and 80 players sit and go tournament, by the time I got to the final table, my opponents were playing like professionals. Virtually all the pots were heads up, there was pre-flop raising. There was post-flop aggression, and there were sensible critical game plays that led to four living or re-raising with very few hands going to the river.

I liken this to what Dan Harrington refers to in his no limit hold them series, in that a player must change his style of play. Based on the conditions of the tournament, no matter what his natural or comfortable playing zone really is. It’s the same way in the sit and go tournaments, you generally have to become tight aggressive when the blinds become so astronomical that there’s just no more room to play around, like you might’ve been leading up to the final table.

And don’t forget even though these are low buy-in tournaments, a lot of the players at final tables at these levels never been to a final table before, and although the winnings modest, they could be rather significant to your opponents bankroll. So be surprised. Next time you get to the final table that most of your opponents are strong TAG players, and they seem to know exactly what they’re doing.

Marty Smith has a free sit and go strategy profiling report and videos for playing sit and go tournaments successfully. He also reviews all the online poker calculators with video in real game situations, so you can see which one is right for you before you buy.

Making the Money in Online Poker Tournaments

Filed under: General — Tags: , — Marty @ 9:53 pm

Making the Money in Online Poker Tournaments
By Marty Smith 

Getting eliminated in a poker tournament is NEVER a good feeling, and the underlying idea is certainly to make it as deep as you can in every tournament you enter, but is that all there is to it? Of course you understand by now that poker is anything but a simple game, and tournament strategy requires even more layered thinking for long term success and profitability.

One of the most important factors when strategizing in poker tournaments is making the money. For some players, this isn’t actually that important as their bankroll is at a level of comfort having 50, 100 and even 200 buy-ins or more, waiting in their account for the next tournament. A lot of rounders and pros will play more aggressively in this situation because they want to make the money with a healthy stack.

For most online players though, this simply isn’t the case and making the money should be of paramount importance. The reason for this is because when you are actually building a bankroll, the best money to play with is that of your opponents, not your own. I call this OPM, or Other Players’ Money, and if you are just starting out in online poker, then OPM is your only way to long term success, save for extraordinary luck.

The only way to start using OPM is to do your utmost to make the money in every tournament you play. It may not be optimum play for a large payout, but in the low limits it does work for several reasons. Firstly, there are enough donkey playing fools in online poker that will essentially put you in the money by virtue of their impatient, ill advised aggression.

Secondly, the attrition rate in low limit tournaments is quick sometimes, that you can count on your actually entry fee to be worth at least double what you paid.

Lastly, you can count on making the money about 15 to 20 percent of the time, and no matter how you play, the math is on your side that you will make the final table often enough to earn those higher payouts, no matter how tight you play.

Now adopting this philosophy normally requires tight-aggressive Harrington style play, but it’s not so easy to stick to that style while witnessing the foolish players around you and their lucky, but growing stacks. Getting caught up in that though, means you are playing on your lack of emotional control, and not using a solid winning strategy.

It all comes down to numbers and probabilities. If you play tight aggressive, you will make the money often enough to build your OPM bankroll, and then play risk free forever more. Now, what do you really think is more profitable?

Marty Smith has video reviews of all the poker calculators so you can see them being used before you decide which one is right for you. He also has a poker tournament strategy video series that is free poker training just for signing up.

Sit and Go Strategies for Poker Prophecy

Filed under: MTTs — Tags: , — Marty @ 9:53 pm

Sit and Go Strategies for Poker Prophecy
By Marty Smith 

My previous articles on poker calculators have not included information on Poker Prophecy because in essence it is NOT an online poker odds calculator. However, it does something equally as valuable in that it displays your opponents overall win rate at the poker site you play. Whether you play at Party Poker, Poker Stars, Ultimate Bet, or a selection of others, Poker Prophecy keeps sit and go records for you whether you are at the table or not. Is it useful? Yes, it absolutely is. If you play sit and go tables even once in awhile, this is the one online poker program that can pay for itself in the same day. In an ideal world you would want to use your poker calculator alongside Poker Prophecy. Now, if you are wondering how knowing an opponent’s win rate will help you, keep reading.

In effect, you can your opponent’s win rate against them. Although you can change the levels of classifications on Poker Prophecy I prefer to use the provided win rate categorizations – as they seem to be right on. To win a sit and go tournament you will be in several hands along the way that are game critical intersects. In saying that, would you want your opponent to be someone that you’ve never played against, or a regular that you have played hundreds, or even thousands of times?

A win rate is determined by adding all the 1st, 2nd, and 3rd place finishes and dividing by games played. These rates create 3 player categories. Here are some strategies to use against all of them.

37% or higher – Professional: Anyone with this win rate knows how to play tight/aggressive and does so with incredible patience and discipline. They will not be bluffing early, and will almost always have the best hand when all in. However, their weakness lies in that very foundation, in that they are the easiest players at the table to bluff out of a pot. If you try this often, they will trap you, but if you selectively come over the top in a big way, these players will not call on hands like top or middle pair, mediocre draws, or flop boards that have a lot of chemistry. Stay away from them if they come in early position with a raise. Fold your AJ, KQ, 66, 33, and the like, unless you are short stacked, then over the top is your only play. At this level, players are proud of their win rate and absolutely hate to go out first, or early in a tournament. If you can threaten to cut into their bankroll, they will pause and fold to your aggressive re-raising.

20.01% to 36.9% – Average: These players are the most dangerous in that they may have tendencies of being solid and weak, many of them in poker learning stages that may well be improving. I find the reason why these online poker players are stuck in this zone is that they can’t let go of draws, even when pot odds justify an obvious fold. The course of action here is basically straight up, unless you have some other indication of their play. If you have them on an obvious draw, bet solid. If the river is a brick add one small bet to cap it off, and hope for a re-raise. In game play, they are the ones to watch most in order to help build an identity.

0% to 20% – Fish: Don’t bluff, don’t bluff, and for God sakes, don’t bluff. These are the players who are most often asked – “How did you call with that?” They are the lowest grade opponents for a reason, but can double up ON YOU if you don’t play straight up against them. However, that makes them the most susceptible to being trapped and/or slow played. And that’s what you want to do while avoid being drawn out on an ugly gut shot straight. If you want them out of the hand, all-in is your only play, but make sure you are way ahead. If not, calling/checking down, and folding to a huge river bet is safer. These players will see so many hands and raises that you are sure to get a better shot at them later – if they happen to survive.

Poker Prophecy also has other statistics which you should read for every table you join because they have a huge impact on a players TRUE win rate.

How many games have they played? The more they have played (100+) the more that category is true to their fundamental playing style. If your opponent has a 62% win rate but has only played 13 games, you are essentially playing blind – the win rate is a non-factor, save for representing a streak.

What buy-in are they playing compared to what they usually play? Someone could be on a bad losing streak at the $50 buy in, and finds himself trying to bankroll at the $10 buy ins. They may tend to be more impatient and inclined to tilt. On the other hand, moving up a level or two usually means the player is going to be much tighter.

Conflicting styles. If you discover a pro-rated player in a lot of weak hands, and playing carelessly, you may be seated with the spouse/friend of the account holder. I often come across this and pay close attention to that player so that I can override the category myself.

Martin Smith is webmaster of http://www.PokerCalculatorReport.com where all the online poker calculators are tested and reviewed, including Sit and Go Shark, Calculatem Pro, and Poker Spy. He is also editor of http://www.PokerBookReport.com. You can contact Martin Smith at support@PokerCalculatorReport.com

Online Poker – Are Titan Poker “Jackpot” SNG Tournaments Worth the Extra Rake?

Filed under: Mark R Holland — Tags: , — MarksEzineArticles @ 9:53 pm

Online Poker – Are Titan Poker “Jackpot” SNG Tournaments Worth the Extra Rake?
By Mark R. Holland 

Titan poker have been running their ‘Jackpot Sit and Go’ promotions for some while now. The concept is simple – just win 6 in a row and get a huge bonus!

There are actually 3 levels;

Fort Knox $50+9 – 6 players – Win 6 consecutively get $50k.

Rio $20+3.5 – 6 players – Win 6 consecutively get $25k.

Maui – $5+1 – 10 players – Win 5 consecutively get $15k

The good news is that if you play SNGs anyway you have an extra chance to win some big money… on the other hand the entry fee for each is higher than the equivalent non-jackpot sit and go. This article will do some analysis and ask whether it might be worth spending the extra in fees for the chance of a jackpot.

There are a couple of significant differences to include with the 6-Man SNGs, they actually pay 3 places rather than 2! We also need to take into account the standard of play in these games as the experience level of the participants tends to be less than that for the equivalent buy-in non-jackpot games.

There are a couple of significant differences to include with the 6-Man SNGs, they actually pay 3 places rather than 2. We also need to take into account the standard of play in these games as the experience level of the participants tends to be less than that for the equivalent buy-in non-jackpot games.

Lets look at the fee ($50+9) vs the prize ($50k) for the fort Knox; (3000 * $9) – $50000 = $23000

Ok, so it looks like there is some value here!

The complicating factor comes when we look at the same figures for a winning player. Lets take the following assumption for ‘Mrs Winner’; 25% 1st / 15% 2nd place / 10% 3rd place finish distribution.

After 3000 ‘non-jackpot’ 6-man sngs;

750 1st ($210) = $157500

450 2nd ($90) = $40500

Total = (157500 + 40500) – (3000* $55) = +$33000

After 3000 jackpot 6-man sngs;

750 1st (150) = $112500

450 2nd (90) = $40500

300 3rd (60) = $18000

Total = ($112500 + $40500 + $18000) – (3000 * $59) = -$6000

Over 3000 games there is a difference of $39000 – a strong suggestion that the winning player should stick to the lower-rake non-jackpot SNGs… but wait, in saying that ‘Mrs Winner’ has 25% winning chances we need to recalculate the probability of 6 in a row – this is now 0.019%, almost 1 in 50!!

Hopefully the above analysis has shown that a winning SNG player should seriously consider Jackpot tournaments as part of their daily routine. In addition clearing Titan’s regular reload bonuses will further reduce the impact of the rake.

Mark R Holland is an online poker pro specialising in SNG tournaments. For more information on Titan Poker, SNG Strategy Articles and some of the best poker bonuses around visit Online Poker Tournaments today!

Advanced Poker Strategy for Tournaments – How To Move Beyond Playing Only Your Cards

Filed under: General — Tags: , — MarksEzineArticles @ 9:53 pm

Advanced Poker Strategy for Tournaments – How To Move Beyond Playing Only Your Cards
By Mark R. Holland 

The beauty of poker is that it is easy to learn but almost impossible to fully master. A player who has learned the basics of poker strategy including starting hand selection, the various kinds of odds and table position looking at advanced poker strategy tips and information needs to cover many areas. This article suggests 5 advanced poker strategy areas that can improve any player’s poker skills.

Advanced Poker Strategy Area #1 – Game Theory

Game theory is actually a branch of mathematics which looks at situations where 2 or more people have conflicting interests. It can be applied to poker in many ways. The most common example is ‘Optimal Bluffing Strategy’ in which you aim to randomize your bluffs in a way that is ‘unexploitable’ by opponents. This advanced poker strategy involves making your bluff frequency exactly the same as the odds your opponent receives to call the final bet.

Advanced Poker Strategy Area #2 – The Independent Chip Model (ICM)

ICM is a model which gives a tournament player’s chip stack a dollar value based on prize pool distribution and the stacks of remaining players. It is then used to calculate your true risk – in terms of dollars not chips – when making a decision during play. This advanced poker strategy is commonly used in Sit and Go tournaments but can be equally useful in multi-table poker tournaments.

Advanced Poker Strategy Area #3 – Heads-Up Poker Play

There are actually 2 advanced poker strategies designed for heads-up play. Both are used at the end of tournaments and rely on math to ensure that an opponent has no numerical way to exploit you. The first is known as the SAGE system and the second ‘Nash-Equilibrium’. Becoming an expert in these systems will help you reach that number one spot – where the big payout is!

Advanced Poker Strategy Area #4 – Stack Size Flexibility and Inflection Points

Made famous by Dan Harrington the concept of ‘M’, zones and inflection points is a must for players learning advanced poker strategy for tournaments. You can calculate your ‘M’ score at any point during a tournament by dividing your chips by the blinds and antes. This score is then used to assign a ‘zone’ which dictates your strategy as you travel through inflection points (changes between zones).

Advanced Poker Strategy Area #5 – Rail-Birding The Online Pros

Watching the professional online tournament players at work is a great way to pick up advanced poker strategy tips. Effective rail-birding involves analyzing the hand as a whole rather than just the cards in play. Stack-sizes and reads are just two of the many things to watch out for.

Mark R Holland is an online poker pro, blogger and writer for high-quality poker sites. For great poker strategy articles and tips covering SNGs, Poker Tournaments and Satellite Qualifiers visit Online Poker Tournament Strategy Tips today!

Poker ROI – What is Poker ROI and How is it Calculated

Filed under: General — Tags: , — MarksEzineArticles @ 9:53 pm

Poker ROI – What is Poker ROI and How is it Calculated
By Mark R. Holland 

ROI Stands for ‘Return on Investment’ and is a commonly used way of calculating your profits in poker. The exact method of calculating ROI will vary depending on which form of the game is played. A more useful figure for poker players may be ‘hourly rate’ which takes into account the time spent playing.

1) Calculating Poker ROI for Tournaments / Sit and Goes

ROI for tournaments is expressed as a percentage of your original buy-in. It is standard in poker to remove 100% (buy-in) from the calculation at the end. For example:

You play 100 tournaments each with a buy in of $10 + $1 fee and end up with a total bankroll of $1600.

ROI = (1600)/(1100) or 145% – remove the 100% (standard format) and you have a ROI of 45% for those tournaments.

2) Calculating ROI for Cash Games

ROI for cash games becomes a little more difficult. This is because you need a time frame over which to calculate your return. The standard poker format for this is to use 100 hands. For example.

You play 1000 hands of poker over a single session and make $500 profit. Your buy-in for the game st the start was $200. ROI is thus 50% per 100 hands. It is also common in poker cash games to calculate profit as the number of big blinds won per 100 hands. In this example with blinds at $2/$1 you could note your profits as 25 Big Blinds per 100 hands.

3) Hourly Rates – A More Useful Number?

ROI in both of the above examples does not factor in the time you spent playing the game. To get a truely useful number you need to divide your total profit by the time at the tables. This figure can then be used to compare different formats of the game, buy-in levels or different poker sites to see which is the most profitable.

Mark R Holland is an online poker pro, blogger and writer for high-quality poker sites. For great poker strategy articles and tips covering SNGs, Poker Tournaments and Satellite Qualifiers visit Online Poker Tournament Strategy Tips today!

Final Table Tournament Play and Your Poker Calculator

Filed under: General — Tags: — Marty @ 9:52 pm

Final Table Tournament Play and Your Poker Calculator
By Marty Smith 

So many dynamics of the game come together at the final table. A mixture of stack sizes, experience, excitement, anxiety, and the thought of having that message pop up on your computer saying, Congratulations, You Placed First in the Tournament and $2,375.00 has been deposited into your account! Nice!

You may have been using your poker calculator during the tournament to help get you to the final table, but now with this new mixture of dynamics present, it may not be as useful to you in moving up pay-out positions. I never play an online tournament without using my Holdem Pirate Poker Calculator. I use the VPIP meter to keep close tabs on the type of player I am paying against, as it truly helps in identifying what they may be raising with. All of this changes at the final table, particularly as a result of short stacks combined with huge blinds and position.

First of all if you are a big stack you are going to be playing a lot more hands than your poker calculator is recommending. This is especially true of you are up against a short stack who is all in and you are last to act. Your poker calculator will say to fold hands like QTs, or AJos, but if your stack is 4 or 5 times bigger than his, this is an automatic call. I would even play more speculative hands in that spot like T9s, and pocket pairs right down to deuces.

Conversely if you are a short stack your play is wide open as you have nothing to lose but move up. In position if your stack can cause some damage to some medium stacks to your left in the blinds you are actually situated better than it may seem. Post flop aggression with first in pressure is your move here with hands that could range from Ace-anything, any pair, suited connectors and any two paint cards. Most of these combinations are instant fold warnings from your poker calculator. So you really should only use it as an indicator of hand strength. When I am short stack I am looking for anything over 75% in position. Thats one of the reasons I really like using VPIP meter because it will give you a percentage strength on your hand, but more importantly a indication of the aggression at your table. From that information, you may, even being a short stack may want to survive just past the next round of blinds if you figure you can move up a pay scale or two just by sitting and folding. I have done exactly this too, earning an extra thousand dollars in the process. In that game I was happy to blind out!

So when you get to the final table, a quick glance at the VPIP meter is about all youll need to determine your strategy, and do you best to move up the money.

Marty Smith is webmaster of http://www.PokerCalculatorReport.com where all the online poker calculators are tested and reviewed, including Sit and Go Shark, Calculatem Pro, and Poker Spy. He is also editor of http://www.PokerBookReport.com You can contact Martin Smith at support@PokerCalculatorReport.com

Full Tilt Poker Report: Moving Up a Level

Filed under: General — Tags: , — Marty @ 9:52 pm

Full Tilt Poker Report: Moving Up a Level
By Marty Smith 

 

Moving up a level at Full Tilt Poker can be an exciting proposition but not one without peril. It may have taken you weeks, or even months of extreme patience and dedication to achieve a level of security in your bankroll that allows you to move up a level, but there are certain things you should do before making the jump. You can save a lot of painful money losing sessions by actually watching the games before playing on them, where too, you can start your note taking on some of the players as they have probably not been in your circuit and there will be a lot of blanks to fill in. As well, this will give you an accurate handle on your bankroll and the true pressure it’s going to be under.

It doesn’t matter if you’re moving from 5 buck STT’s to 10 buck STT’s or 10/20 hold’em to 20/40 hold’em, you will need advance scouting, and that demands you simply watch the tables you are going to be playing on. Watching involves thinking, analyzing, and guessing at each pot. Your job here is to develop your hand reading skills while being able to decipher who really holds a strong hand, or who is simply making a position play. When I watch games, I try to put the players on hands and see how many or how close I can come. The more you can do this, the more you save on calling poor bets. Money saved in poker, is money earned. After awhile, you will be proud at how many times you can be dead-on when someone turns over their hand. This is so powerful because when you actually do sit at the table, you will not be in awe, or be too sheepish to play your strong hands, and other players will know in short order they can’t run you over.

If you have the dedication to watch a few games, a few hours a night, for a week or so ahead of moving up, you will already be at an advantage of at least half of your opponents when you sit in. In addition, while watching you should absolutely be taking notes on the players. Full Tilt Poker has an excellent note taking option that has color codes labeled right on the player’s avatar. Get a system using 5 or 6 colors that mean something to you, like fish, pro, maniac etc. an use it consistently. You are going to be huge when you sit at a 6 handed table and 3 of them already have colors and notes. Make notes on players that play poor position cards, raise with questionable hands, and bluff too much. These are the types of players you will cash from and make your transition successful.

Your bankroll requirements are sometimes more theoretical than practical. While watching the swings that some of your competitors are taking, and realizing your bankroll may be swallowed in a session it may not be time to move up quite yet. I was offering such advice to a friend of mine who told me he was in a $33 single table tournament – even though his bankroll was only $120. I reminded him about not getting too anxious or greedy to build the bankroll to the extent of putting it at risk. He concurred, you should too.

These steps may seem far too tedious for you. They are for most, but most poker players lose money online. Be different, be prepared, and make the right move up at Full Tilt Poker.

Marty Smith is webmaster of http://www.FullTILTpokerREPORT.com where all the news, events, and inside information on Full Tilt Poker is. Right now, you can double your first deposit on the best poker site on the net. Marty also wirtes for http://www.PokerBookReport.com

December 5, 2009

Exploiting opponents

Filed under: General — MikeTheMavrick @ 8:58 pm

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So lets say you know that an opponents VPIP (volentary put [chips] in pot) is 60% and his PFR (preflop raise) percentage is 30%. An opponent raises, with what percentage hands should you reraise with so you can be in the upper half of your opponent’s range?

This is interesting. If your opponent raises with 30% of the hands that he plays, and he volentarily plays 60% of the hands, we can see that this opponent will play 18% of all hands (60*.30=18 out of 10 or 18%). Now 18% of all hands is an interesting number because it doesn’t tell us if our opponent adjust from position. It also doesn’t tell us if our opponent has changed his hand range recently. It doesn’t tell us how our opponent will react to a reraise. However, that doesn’t mean that we can’t come up with a strategy against it.

 At a minimum, you should be willing to reraise with half of your opponents range of hands, in all positions. this would mean that 9% of hands you can reraise with. This is because you know that this will be in the top half of your opponent’s range of hands. Now, if you are rereraised, you can move all in on a rerereraise (assuming you have fold equity) with 25% of the hands that you reraise with. In other words, 9/4=2.25% hands you can rerereraise with. This strategy will ensure that you have a stronger hand than your opponent. Now if you knew what percentage of the time your opponent folded to a reraise, you could figure out whether or not it’s profitable to reraise with any two cards. Sometimes that may be the case. Opponents WILL play this style because they know they can steal, but won’t want to play against someone who can reraise. If this opponent is any good, he’ll stop stealing as much and/or start restealing more. Now if we know that our opponent won’t 3 bet us very often, we can reraise more, and we will have to rerereraise less. this will result in us further exploiting our opponents tendencies. However, if we do nothing else, but raise with half the percentage of hands that our opponent plays (assuming if he calls that we will at least break even with him after the flop), and rerereraise with 25% of our raise range, we will be able to exploit an edge. This assumes that each bet is 3 times the previous one. If his rereraise is smaller, then we will need to reraise more frequently, if it’s larger, we will need to reraise less frequently. If we risk more than 3 times on our reraise or rereraise, we will need to reraise less frequently, and if we risk less, we will need to do so more frequently.

The short handed way is simply to figure out how often your opponent raises, then raise with half of his hands.

A more advanced way would be to figure out how your opponent adjusts for position. Our opponent could fold or call a lot more in late position, but every time he’s folded to, he might raise a lot more. If we assume standard adjustments, then we can value the raise from under the gun as a more valuable hand, and sequentially as less valuable. Or we can assume that someone who raises 18% of all hands, raises 18% from under the gun, and sequentially more in later position IF folded to, if the rest of the table employs a similar strategy. Typically a quick adjustment could be that the opponent raises with twice as many hands in late position, and half that many hands in early position, with adjustments in between. So 10 handed, 1st to act 9% of all hands, middle position 4th to act 18% of all hands, and on the small or big blind, 36% of all hands. If our opponent tends to raise over limpers, this is probably more accurate. If our opponent tends to fold or limp after a limper, and doesn’t usually raise over limpers, this is probably less accurate and a more accurate assesment would be that our opponent will open up a lot more hands when folded to. Thus perhaps a 18% from early position, and an adjustment based on the fact that our opponent raises with 1.8 more hands than what is considered “likely to be the best hand” based on position. For example, with 5 players left including our opponent, our opponent may raise 1/5=.2. However, since he makes the 1.8x adjustment, we multiple 20% by 1.8 and we get .36 or 36%.

Now exploiting opponents before the flop is fairly straight forward. However, it’s usually just one function of how you exploit your opponents after the flop. If you cannot at least break even with your opponents after the flop, you will need to play tighter to ensure that you have a much stronger hand. Or you will need to find the leaks in your own game so you can play a more balanced style that cannot be exploited after the flop.

On the other hand, if you can exploit your opponents after the flop, you may be able to call with a MUCH wider range of hand as a MUCH bigger underdog. The more skillful edge you have over an opponent, the more hands you can profitably play, even if you have to start with the worst hand.

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